Tuesday, August 9, 2022

BYU Football at 37th with .581 Winning Percentage - Who's Next?

BYU Football at 37th with .581 Winning Percentage - Who's Next to Pass Up?

    BYU is trying to move up the food chain in percentage of all-time wins and percentage. The last two years they are 21-4, which is pretty good. This season will be tough, but other teams ahead of them may slip more. What are the chances of others faltering in 2022 more than the Cougars of Provo? (not Houston or Washington State).

Central Michigan63843536.5921201109MAC
Western Kentucky59841630.5871021044C-USA
Wisconsin72850653.5861321287Big Ten
Fresno State62643827.586991091Mountain West
UCLA62043737.5841021094Pac-12
Georgia Tech 774452743.5831281314ACC
BYU60343126.581961060Independent
    The Yellow Jackets of Georgia Tech have had some hard times, dropping overall, last year going 3-9. They are predicted to go at least that poorly this season, so they should fall behind BYU, even if the Cougs only go 7-5, or (gasp!) 6-6. Looking at the comparative schedules, I think it could be as different as 2-10 for the Wramblin' Wreck and: 10-2 for BYU! Or 11-2. I wish better, like perfect, but 13-0 would mean a couple of guys for BYU go crazy anabolic wicked amazing. Which is likely not to happen.

    Count BYU 36th all-time winner by next year, unless someone passes them up from behind. I should write of that possibility later...

    Next: UCLA. Da Bruins, soon to join the Big Ten. Last year they finished 8-4, a decent .666 rate of wins. They are predicted to do the same this year. Or maybe 9-4 with a bowl win, an opportunity that passed them by because of a Covid-19 cancellation last winter. I hope that a few more teams beat them in '22, but the pre-conference is incredibly easy, and if they avoid injuries with easy victories then they are primed to do well against the topsy turvy PAC-12. Who do they not play? No Oregon State, which favors them, and no Washington State, which is also not bad. The Washington Huskies are predicted by some as 52 in the nation, but I expect them to be better, and perhaps the Bruins may go 6-6. Despite getting a Master's there, I think I want these guys to bow down to their opponents. But not against USC. Kill those Trojans, most of the time. And I think I may join my buddy Tay and pick the Utes to lose to UCLA, too. 

    BYU could gain ground this fall; this may be a close one.

      Fresno State went 10-3 last year and is predicted (by Athlon) to go 9-4 this season. The schedule bears this out. Hard to catch the Bulldogs of San Joaquin Valley in the months to come.

    The Wisconsin Badgers were 9-4 last year and are penciled to do the same this fall. I hope some Big Ten West Division teams can beat them, plus they have Ohio State, Michigan State, and a possible tougher Maryland in the East. Maybe BYU makes up some ground if the Cheeseheads slip. Iffy.

    The Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky had a high scoring offense last year, but even my lowly Hoosiers topped them. W. Kentucky ended up being 9-5, and are predicted to be 87th overall, 7-6. Ground should be made by BYU as long as they win 7 or 8 games.

      The Central Michigan Chippewas are sitting on a 120 year history of winning at a .592 rate. Not bad. They are in the rather weak Mid-American Conference. Last season they wound up 9-5, which is good for a .555 clip. Not as good as I thought before doing the math. They are pegged by Athlon to go only 7-6 this season. Their schedule has two sure losses in Oklahoma State and the Nittany Lions of Penn State. Three more MAC losses will add up to dropping from .592, maybe behind BYU if the Cougs can get to 8 or 9 wins. 

    I think that chances are good for the BYU Cougars to get into the .590 win range and pass up some of these other programs.

    Who looks strong in the rear-view mirror, for another speculative post?

Arkansas72952540.5791271294SEC
Stanford66447849.5781141191Pac-12
Southern Miss60043626.5771031062Sun Belt
Pittsburgh74954742.5751311338ACC
Colorado71852536.5751311279Pac-12
Minnesota71853244.5721371294Big Ten
Oregon68350646.5721251235Pac-12
Boston College68451037.5711221231ACC
San Diego State58143332.571981044Mountain West
Army71553351.5701311299Independent
Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm...
    


    

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