Saturday, May 7, 2022

Three Young Home Run Hitters - Harper, Machado, Soto

Three Young Home Run Hitters - Harper, Machado, Soto

197.Steve Garvey (19)2729466RHR Log
 Bryce Harper (11, 29)2725593LHR Log
 Andrew McCutchen (14, 35)2727698RHR Log

222. Roy Campanella+ (18) 259 5656 R HR Log
  Chase Utley          (16) 259 7863 L HR Log
224. Manny Machado (11, 29) 258 5747 R HR Log
225. Ian Kinsler           (14) 257 8299 R HR Log
226. Bob Allison          (13) 256 5924 R HR Log
  Larry Parrish        (15) 256 7451 R HR Log
  Vada Pinson      (18) 256 10405 L HR Log

909.Earl Battey (13)1044105RHR Log
 Jackie Bradley Jr. (10, 32)1043796LHR Log
 Ivan Calderon (10)1043672RHR Log
 Jorge Cantu (8)1043395RHR Log
 Kal Daniels (7)1042739LHR Log
 Ryan Doumit (10)1043407BHR Log
 Luke Easter (8)1042355LHR Log
 Jacoby Ellsbury (11)1045375LHR Log
 Granny Hamner (17)1046293RHR Log
 Mitch Haniger (6, 31)1042226RHR Log
 David Murphy (10)1043847LHR Log
 Xavier Nady (12)1043241RHR Log
 Jim Piersall (17)1046593RHR Log
 Placido Polanco (16)1047887RHR Log
 John Roseboro (14)1045529LHR Log
 Juan Soto (5, 23)1042127LHR Log
 Franklin Stubbs (10)1042899LHR Log
 Jim Tabor (9)1044136RHR Log
 Trea Turner (8, 29)1043126RHR Log

    29 years-old is young in the scheme of things, but in major league baseball it might be the age when one is at the peak of a player's career. Some guys in their somewhat young 30s are trending down in production, while a few elite players are productive into their 40s.

    The best all time players are able to play well for at least 20 years, but there are some exceptions of some who played very well in shorter time spans. The amazing pitcher for the Dodgers in the 1960s comes to mind, Sandy Koufax, or the rounded phenom Kirby Puckett for the Twins in the 1980s and 1990s. They did not enjoy longevity of dominance as performers, but they dominated so well while they worked.

    The three players featured in this comparison are all expected to play for twenty good decades. It will be interesting to see if any of them make it to their 40s in the league in good health. It would be fun.

Bryce is up to 272 homers, tied for 197 all time, with 5,593 plate appearances.

Manny Machado, also 29, has now reached 258 all time homers, tied for 224 in the top home run hitters of all time. All this in only 5,747 plate appearances. Bryce is doing better.

Soto, is only at 104 career home runs, but he is only 23 years old, with a mere 2, 127.

All three have bright futures, perhaps Juan the best among them since his batting average is the highest. He has the highest ceiling, but all three are superior talents.

Harper career BA and OBP:      .279 & .390

Machado career BA and OBP:  .282 & .340

Soto career BA and OBP:         .299 & .430

If Soto can maintain these high numbers, he has a chance at surpassing the older younger "great" guys, who look to play another decade each, both locked into very lucrative contracts for many years.

I am surprised that Machado has such low OBP career numbers, but so far in about 100 at bats this 2022 season he is off to a tremendous start, hitting a red hot .382 with a .458 on base percentage. Maybe his career is just taking off. Pretty good for a third baseman, former short stop.

The designated hitter upgrade of the National League should favor all three.

I expect all three to make it to 500 career homers. And the Hall of Fame.

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